From Middle East to Sahel: Algeria Confronts 2026 Security Landscape – Report

✍️ 𝓑𝔂: 𝓓𝓻. 𝓗𝓪𝓷𝓪 𝓢𝓪𝓪𝓭𝓪

𝓐𝓵𝓰𝓲𝓮𝓻𝓼 – 𝓓𝓮𝓬𝓮𝓶𝓫𝓮𝓻 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓 – As global instability deepens, the United States Council on Foreign Relations’ latest report, “Conflicts to Watch in 2026”, casts a stark light on emerging security threats spanning the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The report warns of an exceptionally turbulent year for the international system, underscoring the strategic imperative for nations like Algeria to maintain vigilance, strengthen crisis prevention capabilities, and refine mechanisms for proactive intervention.

The report, prepared by the CFR’s Preventive Action Center, draws on the insights of over 620 American foreign policy experts to identify nearly thirty potential conflicts in 2026. These conflicts are assessed not only for their likelihood of occurrence but also for their potential to affect international stability and critical national interests, highlighting Algeria’s direct exposure due to its pivotal geopolitical position in North Africa and the Sahel.

Algeria’s proximity to these tension zones—particularly in Mali, Libya, and the broader Sahel—places the country on the frontlines of potential spillover effects, including arms trafficking, extremist movements, and transnational criminal networks. Analysts emphasize that this necessitates strategic vigilance at both diplomatic and security levels, coupled with enhanced predictive and responsive capabilities.

The report emphasizes escalating instability across multiple theaters. In the Middle East, the Palestinian-Zionist conflict remains the foremost flashpoint, with potential intensification in the West Bank and renewed military activity in Gaza, threatening regional stability and energy security. In Eastern Europe, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war is expected to enter a more destructive phase, with wide-ranging implications for global food and energy markets.

Within Africa, the Sahel represents a complex nexus of threats, where ‘jihadist’ insurgencies, ethnic tensions, governance deficits, and external interventions converge to create persistent instability. Analysts highlight the region’s vulnerability to cross-border extremism and criminal activity, while historical and structural challenges exacerbate governance failures. Algeria’s active mediation role—anchored in principles of non-intervention and respect for territorial integrity—has historically contributed to stabilizing efforts, notably through its leadership in the 2015 Algiers Peace and Reconciliation Agreement for Mali.

Further east, tensions persist in Libya and Yemen, with fragile political landscapes, the proliferation of militias, and external interference necessitating careful Algerian diplomatic engagement. In Syria and Lebanon, the report warns of renewed destabilization, including the resurgence of extremist groups and ongoing regional interventions, which could undermine state authority and heighten sectarian tensions.

In Asia and the Pacific, potential flashpoints involve maritime disputes in the South China Sea, particularly between China and the Philippines, which could escalate into a broader confrontation with far-reaching strategic and economic consequences. Meanwhile, in the Western Hemisphere, scenarios such as U.S. military actions in Mexico under anti-drug pretexts raise concerns about regional destabilization.

Despite the overall grim outlook, the CFR report also identifies opportunities for conflict prevention through diplomatic engagement and multilateral cooperation. For Algeria, these insights provide a foundation for reinforcing its regional mediation role, particularly in the Sahel and North Africa, while maintaining readiness to navigate broader geopolitical turbulence.

Algeria’s approach emphasizes a coherent strategy linking cross-border terrorism, organized crime, and irregular migration as interconnected threats, requiring multidimensional responses. Through a combination of proactive diplomacy, regional cooperation, and soft power, Algeria continues to assert itself as a stabilizing force, ensuring that its national security and regional influence remain resilient amid escalating global uncertainty.

The report concludes that Algeria’s capacity to act as a credible mediator, particularly in the Sahel and Libyan contexts, will be critical in 2026. Its strategy, rooted in historical experience and adaptive diplomacy, underscores the enduring relevance of preventive measures, multilateral coordination, and the sustained promotion of peace and security in a volatile international environment.

Adapted from:

https://elayem.news/algeria‑conflicts‑2026

Writer of the Arabic Version: Tahar Mouloud 

— 𝐄𝐍𝐃 —

📡🌍 | 𝓐𝓫𝓸𝓾𝓽 𝓓𝔃𝓪𝓲𝓻 𝓣𝓾𝓫𝓮 𝓜𝓮𝓭𝓲𝓪 𝓖𝓻𝓸𝓾𝓹 | 🌍📡
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📰 𝓓𝔃𝓪𝓲𝓻 𝓣𝓾𝓫𝓮 𝓲𝓼 𝓪 𝓽𝓻𝓪𝓲𝓵𝓫𝓵𝓪𝔃𝓮𝓻 𝓲𝓷 𝓐𝓵𝓰𝓮𝓻𝓲𝓪𝓷 𝓭𝓲𝓰𝓲𝓽𝓪𝓵 𝓳𝓸𝓾𝓻𝓷𝓪𝓵𝓲𝓼𝓶, 𝓭𝓮𝓵𝓲𝓿𝓮𝓻𝓲𝓷𝓰 𝓱𝓲𝓰𝓱-𝓺𝓾𝓪𝓵𝓲𝓽𝔂 𝓬𝓸𝓷𝓽𝓮𝓷𝓽 𝓲𝓷 𝓐𝓻𝓪𝓫𝓲𝓬, 𝓕𝓻𝓮𝓷𝓬𝓱, 𝓪𝓷𝓭 𝓔𝓷𝓰𝓵𝓲𝓼𝓱. 𝓦𝓲𝓽𝓱 𝓶𝓸𝓻𝓮 𝓽𝓱𝓪𝓷 📈 500,000 𝓭𝓪𝓲𝓵𝔂 𝓬𝓵𝓲𝓬𝓴𝓼, 𝓲𝓽 𝓻𝓪𝓷𝓴𝓼 𝓪𝓶𝓸𝓷𝓰 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓶𝓸𝓼𝓽 𝓲𝓷𝓯𝓵𝓾𝓮𝓷𝓽𝓲𝓪𝓵 𝓶𝓮𝓭𝓲𝓪 𝓹𝓵𝓪𝓽𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓼 𝓲𝓷 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓬𝓸𝓾𝓷𝓽𝓻𝔂.

🏆 𝓐𝔀𝓪𝓻𝓭𝓮𝓭 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓟𝓻𝓮𝓼𝓲𝓭𝓮𝓷𝓽 𝓸𝓯 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓡𝓮𝓹𝓾𝓫𝓵𝓲𝓬’𝓼 𝓟𝓻𝓲𝔃𝓮 𝓯𝓸𝓻 𝓟𝓻𝓸𝓯𝓮𝓼𝓼𝓲𝓸𝓷𝓪𝓵 𝓙𝓸𝓾𝓻𝓷𝓪𝓵𝓲𝓼𝓽 𝓲𝓷 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓔𝓵𝓮𝓬𝓽𝓻𝓸𝓷𝓲𝓬 𝓟𝓻𝓮𝓼𝓼 𝓬𝓪𝓽𝓮𝓰𝓸𝓻𝔂 (🗓 𝓞𝓬𝓽𝓸𝓫𝓮𝓻 22, 2022), 𝓓𝔃𝓪𝓲𝓻 𝓣𝓾𝓫𝓮 𝓲𝓼 𝔀𝓲𝓭𝓮𝓵𝔂 𝓻𝓮𝓬𝓸𝓰𝓷𝓲𝔃𝓮𝓭 𝓯𝓸𝓻 𝓲𝓽𝓼 𝓮𝓭𝓲𝓽𝓸𝓻𝓲𝓪𝓵 𝓮𝔁𝓬𝓮𝓵𝓵𝓮𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓪𝓷𝓭 𝓲𝓷𝓽𝓮𝓰𝓻𝓲𝓽𝔂.

📱 𝓜𝓪𝓼𝓼𝓲𝓿𝓮 𝓓𝓲𝓰𝓲𝓽𝓪𝓵 𝓡𝓮𝓪𝓬𝓱:
🔴 600,000+ 𝓨𝓸𝓾𝓣𝓾𝓫𝓮 𝓼𝓾𝓫𝓼𝓬𝓻𝓲𝓫𝓮𝓻𝓼
🔵 6 𝓶𝓲𝓵𝓵𝓲𝓸𝓷+ 𝓯𝓸𝓵𝓵𝓸𝔀𝓮𝓻𝓼 𝓪𝓬𝓻𝓸𝓼𝓼 𝓕𝓪𝓬𝓮𝓫𝓸𝓸𝓴 𝓹𝓪𝓰𝓮𝓼
📸 70,000+ 𝓘𝓷𝓼𝓽𝓪𝓰𝓻𝓪𝓶 𝓯𝓸𝓵𝓵𝓸𝔀𝓮𝓻𝓼

🎥 𝓞𝓹𝓮𝓻𝓪𝓽𝓲𝓷𝓰 𝓯𝓻𝓸𝓶 𝓼𝓽𝓪𝓽𝓮-𝓸𝓯-𝓽𝓱𝓮-𝓪𝓻𝓽 𝓼𝓽𝓾𝓭𝓲𝓸𝓼, 𝓓𝔃𝓪𝓲𝓻 𝓣𝓾𝓫𝓮 𝓫𝓻𝓸𝓪𝓭𝓬𝓪𝓼𝓽𝓼 𝓻𝓲𝓬𝓱 𝓪𝓷𝓭 𝓭𝓲𝓿𝓮𝓻𝓼𝓮 𝓹𝓻𝓸𝓰𝓻𝓪𝓶𝓶𝓲𝓷𝓰, 𝓲𝓷𝓬𝓵𝓾𝓭𝓲𝓷𝓰:
🗞 𝓝𝓮𝔀𝓼 | ⚽ 𝓢𝓹𝓸𝓻𝓽𝓼 | 🎭 𝓔𝓷𝓽𝓮𝓻𝓽𝓪𝓲𝓷𝓶𝓮𝓷𝓽 | 🕌 𝓡𝓮𝓵𝓲𝓰𝓲𝓸𝓷 | 🎨 𝓒𝓾𝓵𝓽𝓾𝓻𝓮

🗣️ 𝓕𝓮𝓪𝓽𝓾𝓻𝓲𝓷𝓰 𝓲𝓷𝓽𝓮𝓻𝓪𝓬𝓽𝓲𝓿𝓮 𝓽𝓪𝓵𝓴 𝓼𝓱𝓸𝔀𝓼 𝓪𝓷𝓭 𝓮𝔁𝓬𝓵𝓾𝓼𝓲𝓿𝓮 𝓲𝓷𝓽𝓮𝓻𝓿𝓲𝓮𝔀𝓼 𝔀𝓲𝓽𝓱 𝓹𝓻𝓸𝓶𝓲𝓷𝓮𝓷𝓽 𝓯𝓲𝓰𝓾𝓻𝓮𝓼 𝓯𝓻𝓸𝓶 𝓹𝓸𝓵𝓲𝓽𝓲𝓬𝓼, 𝓫𝓾𝓼𝓲𝓷𝓮𝓼𝓼, 𝓪𝓻𝓽𝓼, 𝓪𝓷𝓭 𝓶𝓸𝓻𝓮, 𝓓𝔃𝓪𝓲𝓻 𝓣𝓾𝓫𝓮 𝓼𝓮𝓻𝓿𝓮𝓼 𝓪𝓼 𝓪 𝓴𝓮𝔂 𝓹𝓵𝓪𝓽𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶 𝓯𝓸𝓻 𝓹𝓾𝓫𝓵𝓲𝓬 𝓭𝓲𝓼𝓬𝓸𝓾𝓻𝓼𝓮 𝓪𝓷𝓭 𝓬𝓲𝓿𝓲𝓬 𝓮𝓷𝓰𝓪𝓰𝓮𝓶𝓮𝓷𝓽.

📰 𝓘𝓽𝓼 𝓹𝓻𝓲𝓷𝓽 𝓼𝓹𝓸𝓻𝓽𝓼 𝓭𝓪𝓲𝓵𝔂, “𝓓𝔃𝓪𝓲𝓻 𝓢𝓹𝓸𝓻𝓽,” 𝓮𝓷𝓳𝓸𝔂𝓼 𝓸𝓿𝓮𝓻 50,000 𝓭𝓪𝓲𝓵𝔂 𝓭𝓸𝔀𝓷𝓵𝓸𝓪𝓭𝓼 𝓿𝓲𝓪 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓸𝓯𝓯𝓲𝓬𝓲𝓪𝓵 𝔀𝓮𝓫𝓼𝓲𝓽𝓮—𝓯𝓾𝓻𝓽𝓱𝓮𝓻 𝓬𝓮𝓶𝓮𝓷𝓽𝓲𝓷𝓰 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓹𝓵𝓪𝓽𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶’𝓼 𝓶𝓾𝓵𝓽𝓲𝓶𝓮𝓭𝓲𝓪 𝓵𝓮𝓪𝓭𝓮𝓻𝓼𝓱𝓲𝓹.

🎖️ 𝓗𝓸𝓷𝓸𝓻𝓮𝓭 𝔀𝓲𝓽𝓱 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓜𝓮𝓭𝓲𝓪 𝓛𝓮𝓪𝓭𝓮𝓻𝓼𝓱𝓲𝓹 𝓐𝔀𝓪𝓻𝓭 𝓫𝔂 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓮𝓻 𝓜𝓲𝓷𝓲𝓼𝓽𝓮𝓻 𝓸𝓯 𝓒𝓸𝓶𝓶𝓾𝓷𝓲𝓬𝓪𝓽𝓲𝓸𝓷, 𝓜𝓸𝓱𝓪𝓶𝓮𝓭 𝓛𝓪â𝓰𝓪𝓫, 𝓪𝓷𝓭 𝓬𝓮𝓵𝓮𝓫𝓻𝓪𝓽𝓮𝓭 𝓪𝓽 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓗𝓲𝓵𝓪𝓵𝓼 𝓸𝓯 𝓽𝓱𝓮 𝓣𝓮𝓵𝓮𝓿𝓲𝓼𝓲𝓸𝓷 𝓪𝔀𝓪𝓻𝓭𝓼, 𝓓𝔃𝓪𝓲𝓻 𝓣𝓾𝓫𝓮 𝓬𝓸𝓷𝓽𝓲𝓷𝓾𝓮𝓼 𝓽𝓸 𝓵𝓮𝓪𝓭 𝔀𝓲𝓽𝓱 𝓲𝓷𝓷𝓸𝓿𝓪𝓽𝓲𝓸𝓷, 𝓲𝓷𝓯𝓵𝓾𝓮𝓷𝓬𝓮, 𝓪𝓷𝓭 𝓲𝓶𝓹𝓪𝓬𝓽.

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